Friday, April 25, 2014

Saving the Shepaug High School


High School enrollment has been declining rapidly, and this trend is expected to continue.

The Schedule below is the Projection for student enrollment for the High School for the periods shown and comments by the Superintendent.

This trend is not new and should have been addressed long ago. Many of our students, in all three towns, are going to other schools for public or private High School.

We have only a school for college preparation; however this is not doing enough for the future. Discouraging students from their choice of practical areas of study may be a problem. During the current economic cycle our students are going off to college and returning 4 years later with a large amount of debt and no job opportunities.

We need a new paradigm for the future; a pathway not just for education, but for future employment.

The one size fits all solution of going to college is not working. There are lawyers becoming firemen, college grads changing to electricians, nursing or some other field. The career they mastered in college is not leading to a job. We need to plan for what jobs will be there for our student down the road.

District 14 has agriculture and Abbott Tech has culinary and other hands on training, from culinary arts to electrical.

Parents will be more receptive to other programs as college becomes more expensive and jobs are scarce.   

We can and must develop programs that will encourage our students to stay with us and draw students in from other towns.

If we look at large employers, let’s take Healthcare for example, they have many types of employees. Nurses, Physician Assistants, X-ray, and all sorts of other Technicians. We could develop credits earned or certificate programs to encourage students into a practical area of study with future job opportunities.

There will be 67 in the graduating class in 14/15 and in 22/23 it will decrease further to 40.
    
The Administration must develop a plan that increases the number of graduates back over 100. The expensive risk of investing millions in repairs is unfair financially for the towns without new goals for success. You must know what changes need to be made in the Shepaug building for any new programs before allocating large amounts of funds for repairs.

We need to downsize, reconfigure the use of the existing buildings and not put the towns in any further debt until a reasonable plan is developed for the future.

Closing a High School is forever. SOS strongly disapproves the “Tuition Out” program at this time, however it cannot be ruled out if we can’t reverse the declining trend.

If this does not happen, we will not be able to maintain current programs and that will lead to the closing of the High School.



Region 12 Public School Enrollment Projection  (From Superintendent’s Office Report)




























Here are a few Articles and Opinions on this matter:


College boosts tech careers,gets high school students on track 





Bruno Matarazzo Jr. Republican-American Edgardo A. Ortiz shows off the two manufacturing certificates he received from Naugatuck Valley Community College. Ortiz received his first one while a student at Crosby High School and has been attending classes while working at a Naugatuck manufacturing company.


WATERBURY — Edgardo Ortiz didn't have much ambition while a student at Crosby High School. He saw himself working a job at Wal-Mart or McDonald's, possibly attending a college for a course or two. But a college degree? That didn't seem feasible.


Now he works full-time at Contec Inc., a Naugatuck manufacturing company, attends classes toward an associate degree at Naugatuck Valley Community 

College and plans on earning his bachelor's degree in engineering. Ten or 20 years from now, he hopes to open his own business, although he's still waiting for that great idea. 


Ortiz, 20, credits a college connection program his sen­ior year at Crosby that intro­duced him to manufacturing as a career.

Northwestern Connecticut Community College will be looking to offer a similar pro­gram for juniors and seniors from area local high school that could mean students fin­ishing high school with a high school diploma and college credit that can go toward an associate degree in technolo­gy studies.


The college classes would be taught at Oliver Wolcott Technical High School after school. High school students would take their core classes like math (pre-calculus and algebra) and English while doing the technical classes at the state trade school.

How many seats the pro­gram will have and the cost is not known but Torrington High School will have six slots and Superintendent Cheryl F. Kloczko hopes she can fill with juniors in the fall.


Kloczko and members of the Board of Education’s school improvement com­mittee, who had been dis­cussing a similar version, hope that Torrington High School students like Ortiz can find focus and develop a passion that has yet to be tapped.


The timing couldn’t be more crucial as local manu­facturers have been work­ing on ways to boost the number of job applicants in the years to come.


There are hundreds of manufacturing jobs in Northwest Connecticut that cannot be filled and more are expected as an aging workforce prepares to re­tire, according to Kevin Canady of Northwestern Connecticut Community College’s Center for Work­force Development.


“There’s over 4,000 man­ufacturing companies in the state of Connecticut but here in Northwest Connecti­cut we have over 300 and not just your average manu­facturing companies. We have aerospace ... and phar­maceutical,” Canady said. “We’re trying to entice the youth that there’s an oppor­tunity here. If we try to at­tract those at a younger age and make them more aware of what’s out there, we be­lieve we help out those com­panies and the students.”


John N. Lavieri, president of Sterling Engineering in Barkhamsted, said he be­lieves the reason for the shortage is that young peo­ple are misinformed about a career in manufacturing. They think it’s dirty and mindless work that involves pulling a lever all day.


“They have an image of manufacturing companies of the 60s and 70s when it’s very different,” Lavieri said. “Today, to be competi­tive, we must be clean, or­derly.”
Decades ago, manufac­turing companies also had more applicants to choose from as large corporations like Pratt & Whitney and Sikorsky churned out skilled workers through an apprenticeship programs. The program involved be­tween 6,000 to 8,000 hours of work.


Now, that education typi­cally comes from the techni­cal schools, community col­leges 
and from partnerships with high schools and com­munity colleges. Last year, 40 individuals completed a level two man­ufacturing certificate at Naugatuck Valley Commu­nity College and more than 30 have been placed in full­time work.


Ortiz went to earn his lev­el two certificate following the college connection pro­gram.
Since 2010, 83 students from Waterbury’s three high schools have complet­ed the college connection program, which is funded by the Waterbury Board of Education, according to Michael Hayden, manager of Northwest Regional Workforce Investment Board.


Ortiz worked as an intern at Contec and worked 16 hours a week for eight weeks before being hired full time.


Contec owner Craig Cor­bett said the college connec­tion program has been a “talent pipeline” and said Ortiz has been a “home run” for the company.


“They hit the floor with their feet running,” Corbett said.
Contec, a small business with 12 employees, doesn’t face the same dilemma larg­er manufacturing compa­nies face with an aging workforce. But when open­ings came up, two positions were filled with the college connection program.


The starting pay is be­tween $10 and $15 an hour, Corbett said.
Northwest Connecticut Community College in Win­sted already offers a six­month intensive manufac­turing program to introduce veterans or unemployed or underemployed individuals into the manufacturing workforce. That is a non­credit program. Oliver Wolcott principal Robert Axon said technical high school previously part­nered with schools in the past.


“We’re always looking into ways of doing it but it’s all about funding and budg­ets and how much will it cost for programs like that,” Axon said.


 Is college choice a big factor when applying for a job?









Diminishing Returns to Higher Education

Political Calculations | Apr 07, 2014

The U.S. Census Bureau has updated its data (Excel Spreadsheet) showing the percentage of Americans, Age 25 or older, who have attended four or more years of college. Our first chart shows how those figures have changed since 1940 for American men and women:






















We observe that there are approximately six times the percentage of Americans who have completed at least four years of college in 2013 than there were in 1940.
Now, here's a chart showing how the median wage and salary income earned by individual American men and women have changed over much of that same period of time - all figures have been adjusted for inflation to be in terms of constant 2012 U.S. dollars:



















In this chart, after adjusting for inflation, we see that the median wage and salary income (Excel Spreadsheet) for U.S. men has risen to be about 1.85 times what it was in 1947, while the median income for U.S. women has risen to be over 2.6 times what it was in 1947, when the majority of women did not earn any wage or salary income.
But we also see that in real terms, the median wage or salary earned by American men has stagnated since the early 1970s, even though the percentage of the adult male population in the U.S. who have completed at least four years of college has doubled in that same period of time. Meanwhile, working American women have seen their incomes stagnate since 2000, even though the share of women Age 25 or older having attended at least four years of college has grown by 10% over that time.
This outcome strongly suggests that there are real diminishing returns to higher education in the United States.


Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Real Estate Research

School Location and Consolidation Effect on Communities and Real Estate Values

Please Highlight the Links below - Right Click the Mouse and select - Go to the Link

1. Links provided to Long Range Planning Committee by Pat Cosentino
Improving Resale Value
http://www.ringsurf.com/online/2498-improving resale value.html

Schools Can Effect Home Values
http://blog.homes.com/2010/09/schools-can-effect-home-values/

What Affects Home Appraisals
http://www.ehow.com/info 7933528 affects-home-appraisals.html

How Does School District Consolidation Affect Property Values?
http://www.aefpweb.org/sites/default/files/webform/CAPV-AEFP-Final.pdf

Pros and Cons of School District Consolidation
http://www.k-state.edu/media/webzine/backtoschool/districtconsolidation.html

Educational Quality, Facilities and Real Estate Value
http://www.patriotroad.com/articles/detail/educational_quality_facilities_and_real_estate_value/

The Impact of School District Consolidation on Housing Prices http://cpr.maxwell.syr.edu/efap/Publications/lmpact of Consolidation.pdf
School District Consolidation: The Benefits and Costs http://www.aasa.org/SchoolAdministratorArticle.aspx?id=13218

The Impact of Schools on Property Values
http://freepdfhosting.com/5a5d1f6706.pdf

2. Further links regarding Schools, Real-Estate and Community found by Alan Brown

Rural School Consolidation Report
http://files.cfra.org/pdf/NRE-TaskForce-School-Consolidation-Report.pdf

Public Schools and Economic Development: What the Research Shows
http://www.mea.org/tef/pdf/public_schools_development.pdf

What Does a School Mean to a Community?
http://www.jrre.psu.edu/articles/v17,n3,p131-137,Lyson.pdf

Have all the costs of closing a school been considered?
http://www.oecd.org/edu/innovation-education/centreforeffectivelearningenvironmentscele/48358265.pdf

Helping Johnny Walk to School
http://www.preservationnation.org/information-center/saving-a-place/historic-schools/helping-johnny/helping-johnny-walk-to-school.pdf

Neighborhood and School Connection: Examining the Importance of Schools on Neighborhoods, Community Development, and the Housing Market
http://cardinalscholar.bsu.edu/bitstream/123456789/197232/1/DiamondC_2013-2_BODY.pdf

How Much Is a Neighborhood School Worth?
http://sites.duke.edu/niou/files/2011/06/BC_neighborhood-school.pdf

Economic Role of School Districts in Rural Communities
http://www.jrre.psu.edu/articles/v4,n3,p125-130,Sederberg.pdf

7 Neighborhood Threats to Your Home's Value, 
http://realestate.msn.com/7-neighborhood-threats-to-your-homes-value

3. Excerpts from all of the sources listed above.

Improving Resale Value UNATTRIBUTED WEB ARTICLE
http://www.ringsurf.com/online/2498-improving resale value.html

“It is well-established fact that being in close proximity to an excellent school can boost the value of your property.”

“Call up the local school district and see if elementary aged children always attend the school closest to their home. “

Schools Can Effect Home Values BLOG ARTICLE
http://blog.homes.com/2010/09/schools-can-effect-home-values/

“A school known for good educational programs, great test scores, good sports programs etc. will attract buyers who will want their (current or future) child/ren to attend.”

What Affects Home Appraisals EHOW CONTRIBUTOR’S ARTICLE
http://www.ehow.com/info 7933528 affects-home-appraisals.html

Proximity to services, such as shopping, hospitals and schools, also play a part in a final appraisal value.

How Does School District Consolidation Affect Property Values? ACADEMIC RESEARCH
http://www.aefpweb.org/sites/default/files/webform/CAPV-AEFP-Final.pdf

We find that, on average, consolidation has a small negative impact on house values. However, this average impact reflects a downward trend in house values the years right after consolidation combined with a positive trend starting in the second year. 

After about four and a half years, house values have returned to their pre-consolidation level and then continue to increase faster than house values in comparable districts. These results suggest it takes a while either for the advantages of consolidation to be apparent or for the people who prefer consolidated districts to actually move in. Finally, the impacts of consolidation on house values are more negative in high-income census tracts, where parents may have a relatively large willingness to pay for the access to teachers and other nonbudgetary advantages of small districts.

Recent articles by Brasington (2004) and Hu and Yinger (2008) explore the property value impact of consolidation. Property value impacts raise additional issues because they may reflect parental concerns that do not appear in school districts’ budgets, such as parental access to teachers or the time parents and students spend getting to school. Indeed, Brasington finds that once one controls for changes in student test scores and property tax rates, consolidation has a negative impact on property values.

First, since relatively few districts in New York consolidate, despite generous financial incentives from the state, districts that do consolidated are not likely to be typical even of small districts in the state.

The impact of consolidation over time is heavily influenced by tract income. … These results are consistent with the notion that high-income households continue to perceive the loss of access to teachers associated with consolidation and indeed become more concerned with this and related factors over time. But it is also consistent with the related notion that high-income people gradually leave consolidated districts—because of the loss of access and other factors—so that the demand for housing in high-income tracts, and thus the equilibrium price, gradually declines